Denmark take on the visitors Portugal in the first leg of UEFA Nations League quarterfinals. The match will be played on Thursday, March 20th at Parken Stadium (Copenhagen).
Denmark has already peaked, with their dramatic Euro 2020 run to the semifinals without Christian Eriksen being the high point. However, their subsequent performances have been underwhelming. They crashed out in the group stage at the World Cup in Qatar, and their Euro 2024 campaign was riddled with inconsistencies. They drew all three group-stage matches against England, Serbia, and Slovenia—just enough to scrape through to the knockout stage, where they immediately fell to Germany. Surprisingly, they started their Nations League campaign with back-to-back wins over Switzerland and Serbia, even after parting ways with Kasper Hjulmand. However, after appointing Brian Riemer as head coach, their form dipped with a mix of losses and draws, although they still managed to secure second place in the group. Their most recent 1-1 draw with Poland highlighted lingering defensive issues.
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Portugal hopes for new successes. The Seleção decided to move on from the long Fernando Santos era after the World Cup in Qatar. So far, it’s hard to say that things have drastically improved under Roberto Martínez, despite an excellent qualification campaign. At the Euros, Portugal won their first two games against the Czech Republic and Turkey but then suffered a shocking loss to Georgia, though they had already secured a knockout-stage spot. What followed were two goalless draws—against Slovenia in the Round of 16, where Diogo Costa heroically saved multiple penalties, and against France in the quarterfinals, where Maignan outshined Costa in the shootout. However, they have been dominant in the Nations League, comfortably topping their group with 14 points against Croatia, Scotland, and Poland. Their latest 3-1 victory over Scotland underlined their attacking strength.
Denmark has won the last three meetings between these teams. However, they have not faced each other since 2015. Portugal is the stronger side and should prove it even away from home. However, given Denmark's resilience, a draw-no-bet option on the visitors seems the safest choice.
Prediction for the match: Portugal to win with 0.0 handicap.
