Den Haag take on the visitors Excelsior in the first semifinal match of Eredivisie relegation playoffs. The match will be played on Wednesday, April 22nd at Bingoal Stadion (Den Haag).
It was the Red and Blacks who kept the Hague team out of the Eredivisie last season. Den Haag confidently secured their place in the playoffs by finishing fifth in the regular season of the Eerste Divisie. Notably, matches involving this team averaged about 3.2 goals per game, with the Over 2.5 goals bet hitting in 27 out of their 38 matches. This will be important for our prediction. In the first playoff stage, Den Haag had a tough time but eventually got past De Graafschap, with Over 2.5 goals hitting in both legs: a 3-2 away win and a 2-2 home draw.
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Excelsior couldn't secure their place in the Eredivisie this season, finishing third from the bottom, landing in the relegation-playoff zone. It's worth noting that scoring 50 goals in 34 rounds is an excellent attacking performance for a relegation-threatened team. However, defensively, the Rotterdam side was terrible, conceding 74 goals in those 34 matches. On average, games involving the Red and Blacks had 3.6 goals. Excelsior's matches saw the Over 2.5 bet hit 27 times out of 34 rounds, with only Ajax doing it more frequently. They ended the regular season with mixed results: thrashing Heracles 4-0 but then conceding four unanswered goals to Feyenoord.
About a year ago, these same teams faced off in the decisive playoff round to determine who deserved to be in the Eredivisie. After two draws, a penalty shootout decided the winner, with luck favoring the Rotterdam team. A year later, the teams meet again, but now in the second round of the playoffs. ADO Den Haag remains a contender for promotion, while Excelsior will be fighting to retain their spot in the top league. I believe there will be at least three goals in the match. Notably, a year ago, in The Hague, the teams each scored three goals against each other. My prediction for the upcoming match is Over 2.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 scored goals.
