Cruzeiro take on the visitors Corinthians in the round 15 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, July 7th at Mineirão (Belo Horizonte).
Cruzeiro Mineiro performs brilliantly in home matches but plays terribly on the road. Thanks to the points earned at home, they are fairly high up in the table. However, this cannot last forever. I believe that soon, even at home, the "Foxes" will start slipping up. The team does not play perfectly in defense, conceding more than a goal per game on average—exactly the same as their upcoming opponents. In three of their last four matches, the "Blues" conceded goals: against Bahia (1-4), Flamengo (1-2), and Criciúma (0-1).
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Corinthians secured a long-awaited victory in the previous round, albeit at home. They snatched a win in the 96th minute against Vitória Bahia (3-2), which even allowed them to formally leave the relegation zone. Now, they need to start picking up points in away games. Notably, in their last four away matches in Serie A, the "Musketeers" managed to do so twice: draws with Atlético-GO (2-2) and Atlético Paranaense (1-1). Additionally, in June, the team also scored against São Paulo (2-2) and Cuiabá (1-1). It seems that Corinthians have somewhat adjusted their aim.
The hosts of the upcoming match have nearly twice as many points as their opponents, despite having played one game less. On paper, the "Foxes" are clear favorites, but bookmakers are still offering quite high odds for their victory. I won’t bet on the outcome of the match here, but I’m willing to take a risk and believe in a Corinthians goal. The "Musketeers" have been looking better in attack recently compared to the start of the season. I’m betting that Cruzeiro’s two-match clean sheet streak in the championship will be broken. In the last three encounters, Corinthians have scored against this opponent (2-1, 1-2, 1-1). My prediction is for Corinthians to score at least one goal in the match (Over 0.5 goals for the away team).
Prediction for the match: Corinthians to score – yes.
