Como take on the visitors Venezia in the round 28 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Saturday, March 8th at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como).
Como appears set to stay in Serie A. The team from the famous Lake Como seems destined to retain its Serie A status, which is hardly surprising given the investments made in the club and the experience and quality within the squad. However, in the last round, the Biancoblù failed to hold onto even a draw in Rome, going down to ten men. Things started well against Roma, but after Kempf was sent off, a 1-0 lead turned into a 1-2 defeat—something that has happened more than once this season, albeit usually at home. Regardless, Cesc Fàbregas' side enters this fixture against Venezia sitting in 13th place, six points clear of the relegation zone. A victory over the league's bottom side would further strengthen their position in the battle to stay up after securing promotion to Italy’s top flight. Despite their struggles, Como has still managed to win three of their last six home games, demonstrating resilience in front of their own fans. Como will be without Kempf, who was sent off in Rome (a significant loss in defense), as well as wing-back Vojvoda, who is suspended due to yellow card accumulation. In addition, Azón, Van den Brempt, and Sergi Roberto remain sidelined, meaning the hosts will have to cope with a heavily depleted backline.
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The bottom-placed side in Serie A has failed to win any of its last ten games, though it has managed to pick up points in its last two outings against difficult opponents. The newly promoted side earned back-to-back goalless draws against Lazio at home and Atalanta away, though both matches saw plenty of chances at their end, while Venezia itself also lacked precision in the final third. Right now, there’s a clear mismatch between the quality of chances created and the team’s finishing ability—Venezia has gone four straight matches without scoring, yet based on xG, they should have had at least three goals in that span. Against Como, it's time to take risks, as the visitors are five points away from safety and need to push forward more aggressively. Given that Como is also a newly promoted team, this is one of Venezia’s best opportunities to break their poor run. With their backs against the wall, expect Paolo Zanetti’s men to approach this game with greater urgency than in previous rounds. Venezia will be without Stankovic and Svoboda, while Črnigoj, Šverko, and Haps are doubtful for this match.
The visitors have been wasteful in front of goal, but they won’t keep missing forever—especially against an opponent that is vulnerable defensively. This bet has consistently come through in recent meetings, including the past two Serie B seasons, where Venezia found the net in every match against Como. The first meeting this season also delivered an entertaining 2-2 draw in Venice. With key defensive absences for the hosts, Venezia's urgent need to attack, and Como conceding in four consecutive games, the odds strongly favor an away goal. Given the solid odds available, this bet looks highly promising.
Prediction for the match: Venezia to score – yes.
