Chapecoense take on the visitors Santos in the round 32 match of Brazilian Serie B. The match will be played on Thursday, October 17th at Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas).
Chapecoense, after 31 rounds, is currently a relegation candidate in the Brazilian Série B. The team has 34 points and sits in 16th place, only one point ahead of CRB, who are in the relegation zone. The home side has lost two consecutive matches, though prior to that, they had a solid run of 7 games, which included 3 home victories, 1 away win, and a draw. This positive streak helped Chapecoense climb out of the relegation zone, but given their recent results and upcoming fixtures, that may not last long. Chapecoense is the most "welcoming" team in the league, having earned only 19 points at home, the lowest total among all teams. However, it's worth noting that 11 of these points were gained in their last 5 consecutive home matches. With only 7 rounds remaining, Chapecoense faces a tough test against Santos, with limited chances for success.
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Santos currently lead the standings in Série B, and unless something unexpected happens, they are likely to remain at the top. Santos is one of the best-performing teams in away games, having collected 22 points with 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a commendable result by Brazilian standards. In their last 5 matches, Santos has secured 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 away loss, indicating the team's solid form. They also boast the best goal difference in the league, with a margin of +21 (46 scored, 25 conceded). In the most recent round, Santos won 3-2 at home against Mirassol, but they will be without two key players due to suspensions — left-back Escobar and midfielder Diego Pituca — who will miss today's match.
Santos, as the league leader and top favorite for promotion, faces a challenge in maintaining their dominant status today. The team has been weakened by the suspension of important first-team players, and their away form, while good, is not their strongest suit. On the other side, they are up against a relegation-threatened Chapecoense side that hasn’t lost in their last 5 home matches. In the first meeting between these two teams, Santos narrowly defeated Chapecoense 1-0 at home, only securing the win in added time. Today’s match won’t be easy for the visitors, as Chapecoense's fight for survival will be a significant factor. It’s common for league leaders to drop points against lower-tier teams, often underestimating their opposition. My bet is on the home team to avoid defeat.
Prediction for the match: Chapecoense not to lose (1X).
