Cagliari take on the visitors Lecce in the round 25 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Monday, February 16th at Unipol Domus (Cagliari).
Cagliari not so long ago even dropped into Serie B, but they were brought back at the first attempt by Claudio Ranieri, who then helped them retain their place at the higher level. Both under him and after his retirement last season, they were averaging under a point per round, yet 36 points in spring still proved enough for a 15th-place finish. Overall, the current campaign has followed a similar pattern. In the cup, however, they pushed Napoli away from home, drawing before losing to the champions only on penalties. In Serie A, generally dull results suddenly turned into a strong mid-winter run with consecutive wins over Juventus, Fiorentina, and Verona. That positive streak could not be extended against Roma, though, as they lost 0–2 in the capital. Even so, recent home form suggests Cagliari are growing more confident in matches against direct rivals. The ability to pick up points in key fixtures has noticeably improved their league outlook.
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Lecce are in a much tougher, but generally familiar, situation. The Wolves closely resemble their upcoming opponents: a modest side that rarely shines but usually manages to avoid relegation to Serie B. Last season was particularly telling, as they collected just 34 points. Even that was enough to stay in the top flight without excessive drama, finishing 17th. This time around, they would gladly repeat the same trick, but it may prove harder, as rivals look more resilient and, most importantly, recent results have been very poor, with defeats piling up over the past month. That made it all the more surprising that in the latest round they managed to take maximum points against a solid Udinese, sealing a 2–1 win in the 90th minute. That victory could serve as a psychological boost after a difficult run. Still, overall form remains fragile, especially away from home.
After a six-match winless run in head-to-head meetings, the Islanders turned the tables in 2025 by winning both encounters. The home side clearly have more advantages. The pick is a Cagliari victory on Sardinia, as the Islanders should be able to beat this opponent on their own ground.
Prediction for the match: Cagliari to win.
