Breidablik take on the visitors Lech Poznan in the second leg of UEFA Champions League Qualification round of quarterfinals. First leg result: 1-7. The match will be played on Wednesday, July 30th at Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur).
Breidablik suffered a heavy blow in the first leg in Poznan against the Polish champions, losing 1-7 to Lech. Yet the Icelandic side, coached by Arnar Grétarsson, managed to keep the score level at 1-1 until the 35th minute. However, playing with ten men after that point proved too much, and they collapsed under pressure. Breidablik’s domestic form has been decent—they’re currently third in the Icelandic league and just drew 1-1 in a local derby against KR Reykjavik. But they have shown defensive frailties throughout the season, especially against stronger opposition. A major turning point in the first leg was the red card shown to key centre-back Viktor Márgeirsson following a VAR review for a last-man foul. His sending off not only weakened Breidablik on the day but has also effectively rendered the second leg a formality. The defender’s absence leaves a significant hole in the already fragile defensive line. The Icelanders are not known for defensive solidity, and conceding eight goals across two matches (including their domestic fixture) only confirms that trend. Without Márgeirsson, their backline will be even more exposed against an aggressive opponent.
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It began with a shocking 1-4 home defeat to Cracovia in the Ekstraklasa, a result that raised concerns among fans and pundits. But they bounced back with a ruthless 7-1 demolition of Breidablik, featuring a hat-trick from veteran striker Mikael Ishak. Over the weekend, Lech earned their first league win, edging Lechia Gdańsk 4-3 in a dramatic contest. Notably, they came back from 0-2 down, with Ishak scoring the winner but also missing a penalty—his third consecutive game on the scoresheet. Lech continue to thrill and frustrate in equal measure, showcasing both firepower and defensive lapses. Their matches have been goal-heavy and unpredictable, underlining a lack of balance between attack and defense. On the other hand, Breidablik played an open 1-1 derby game after their trip to Poland, suggesting no tactical shift toward caution.With goals flowing in Lech’s games—no fewer than five in any of their last three—the potential for another high-scoring affair remains high.
The teams combined for eight goals in the first leg, and we only need half that for this bet to land in the return fixture. There are plenty of reasons to expect another goal-filled encounter. First, the lopsided aggregate score may lead both sides to relax, especially in defense, with little left to play for. Second, Lech have been both prolific and porous at the season’s start, and every match they’ve played so far has featured at least five goals—an unusual but telling trend. Breidablik are hardly a defensively minded side, as evidenced in the first match, and will now be without their suspended main centre-back, making it even harder to keep things tight at the back.
Prediction for the match: Over 3.0 scored goals.
