Borussia Monchengladbach take on the visitors Borussia Dortmund in the round 32 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Sunday, May 3rd at Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach).
Borussia Mönchengladbach drew 0-0 away in the last round against VfL Wolfsburg, who are actively fighting for survival. Gladbach had a disastrous start to the season and changed their head coach, and the new manager managed to lift the team from the bottom to mid-table, where “The Foals” now sit 11th. Recently, they have become much more resilient, avoiding defeats even against stronger opposition, but still lacking the cutting edge to secure wins. Their defensive organization has clearly improved, though their attacking output remains inconsistent. A six-point cushion above the relegation playoff zone with three rounds to go can already be considered a success, but they still need to mathematically secure safety. Polanski’s side face a very uncomfortable opponent at home, which could delay their official survival. The draw with “The Wolves” was already the fifth in their last six matches — Gladbach are winless in that stretch but continue to pick up points. Against Borussia Dortmund they will be without the long-term injured Kleindienst and suspended midfielder Castro.
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Borussia Dortmund are confidently sitting 2nd in the Bundesliga. Although they failed to seriously challenge FC Bayern Munich, Niko Kovač’s side have been more consistent domestically than usual and have had no issues securing a Champions League spot. Their recent away performances have been particularly productive in attack, often leading to high-scoring matches. Even when conceding, they tend to respond quickly and maintain a strong offensive tempo. Injuries to Bensebaini, Can, and Süle weaken their defensive line, giving Gladbach some chances going forward, but “The Black and Yellows” themselves, led by their attacking unit, are unlikely to stay quiet. Ahead of the Borussia derby, they demolished SC Freiburg 4-0 at home, ending a two-match losing streak. The result was essentially decided within the first half hour, when Dortmund scored three quick goals. That victory also officially secured their place in next season’s Champions League.
The favorite, Borussia Dortmund, have issues in defense and will be vulnerable at the back. At the same time, Gladbach at home are capable of taking advantage of such weaknesses, especially against an opponent that prefers open football. The over 2.5 goals market has landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these sides. Dortmund are generally a more open team away from home, with 6 of their last 7 Bundesliga away matches going over 2.5. The Borussia derby is rarely a closed affair — both teams have largely resolved their season objectives, so with less pressure and more freedom, at least three goals in Mönchengladbach look very likely.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 scored goals.
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