Borussia Dortmund take on the visitors Bayern Munich in the round 12 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Saturday, November 30th at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).
Borussia Dortmund are struggles away from home. The "Black and Yellows" came heartbreakingly close to securing the Bundesliga title in 2023 but faltered in the final match, handing the championship to Bayern. Their summer was a mixed bag: they reached the Champions League final but lost to Real Madrid, prompting a managerial change as Edin Terzić stepped down. Nuri Şahin, the new coach, has brought a fresh approach to the team, but the results have been inconsistent. In the Champions League, Dortmund has performed admirably, recently defeating Dinamo Zagreb midweek, though they lost a dramatic game to Real Madrid earlier in the campaign. Domestically, Dortmund has been dominant at home, winning five consecutive Bundesliga games. However, their away form has been abysmal, with four consecutive losses. Last weekend, they thrashed Freiburg 5-0 at home, showcasing their attacking prowess. Julian Brandt and Sebastien Haller have been pivotal in Dortmund’s recent victories. Their chemistry will be crucial in breaking down Bayern’s defense. Dortmund’s pressing system under Şahin has yielded mixed results, with their high line often exposed by teams with pace. Bayern will look to exploit this weakness.
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Bayern Munich narrowly clinched the Bundesliga title in 2023, capitalizing on Dortmund’s misstep. However, their failure to secure silverware in the 2023/2024 season led to Julian Nagelsmann’s departure. The appointment of Vincent Kompany raised eyebrows, given his limited top-level managerial experience. Kompany’s Bayern has been a mixed bag, particularly in Europe. Crushing defeats to Aston Villa (0-1) and Barcelona (0-4) in the Champions League raised concerns. However, they bounced back with a solid, albeit narrow, victory over PSG midweek. In the Bundesliga, Bayern has been relatively consistent, dropping points only in draws against Bayer Leverkusen and Eintracht Frankfurt. With Harry Kane leading the line, Bayern’s attacking threat remains potent, even if the team is still adjusting to Kompany’s tactical demands. Harry Kane continues to be Bayern’s main threat, already making a significant impact in his debut Bundesliga season. His ability to create and finish chances could be decisive. Kompany’s Bayern is still finding its rhythm, but their dominance in midfield, led by Joshua Kimmich, could control the game’s tempo.
Dortmund claimed a surprise victory in Munich last spring, snapping a run of 10 matches without a win against Bayern (1 draw, 9 losses). However, Bayern still holds a dominant historical edge in this fixture. While Dortmund has been strong at home, their struggles on the road and Bayern’s superior squad depth make the "Rekordmeister" slight favorites. Bayern’s experience and attacking firepower should give them the edge in this Klassiker. Expect a fiercely contested game, but Bayern’s edge in quality and experience should see them secure a narrow victory, potentially by a 2-1 scoreline.
Prediction for the match: Bayern to win.
