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Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Prediction 17 February 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Prediction 17 February 2026

Borussia Dortmund take on the visitors Atalanta in the first leg of UEFA Champions League round of 1/16-finals. The match will be played on Tuesday, February 17th at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).

Borussia Dortmund only recently came close to winning the Bundesliga and reached the Champions League final. At the same time, they struggled badly last season, but the club reacted in time by abandoning an unsuccessful coaching experiment and stabilising results. Under the current management, Dortmund secured fourth place and have now confidently settled into second position, even if the gap to the runaway leaders from Bayern Munich remains significant and the domestic cup campaign ended early. Overall, the focus has clearly shifted toward the Champions League, which looks like the main priority. In Europe, the Germans started brightly and by the end of 2025 had collected three wins and eleven points, enough to reach the knockout stage despite January defeats to Tottenham and Inter. Their recent form has been steady rather than spectacular, but consistency has allowed them to control matches more often. At home, Borussia Dortmund have remained particularly reliable, rarely dropping points in key fixtures.

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Atalanta are trying to save their season. La Dea have spoiled both themselves and their fans with regular success in recent years, achieved through long-term work. However, after a summer coaching change, the transition proved unsuccessful, and another replacement had to deal with the consequences of earlier mistakes. There has been some improvement, but the gap to the top four in Serie A remains too large to ignore. As a result, success in the Champions League has become crucial. After a heavy opening defeat to Paris Saint-Germain, the Italians responded with four wins and thirteen points from the next five matches, securing a place in the playoffs. A dip in focus followed, with losses to more motivated opponents such as Athletic Bilbao and Union Berlin, but qualification was still achieved. Recent results show a team that can compete at a high level, yet still lacks stability from match to match.

Exactly eight years ago, in February 2018, the clubs met in the Europa League. The Germans progressed after a home win followed by an away draw. The hosts look more experienced and are in better form. We expect Borussia Dortmund to secure a victory.

Prediction for the match: Borussia Dortmund to win.

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Sam Wilson
Sports tipster