Bolivia take on the visitors Suriname in semifinal match of FIFA World Cup promotion. The match will be played on Friday, March 27th at Estadio BBVA (Monterrey).
Bolivia are a historical underdog in CONMEBOL, a clear example that even in this football-rich region there are teams consistently weaker than the rest. Even their trademark advantage — the unique high-altitude conditions — does not work consistently over the long run, although it certainly helped when Copa América was hosted in this country. Recently, however, they have been showing more confidence at home, turning matches in their favor thanks to momentum and conditions. At the same time, away performances still remain a major issue, which prevents them from becoming a truly competitive side. In the current cycle, the seemingly eternal outsider has managed to surprise, even if aided by the decline of several rivals. In the last three rounds, Villegas’ team defeated Chile and even Brazil — of course, both at home. Then, after also beating Jordan, they managed only draws at best in subsequent friendlies. For example, in January, after a 1-1 draw with Panama, they lost to Mexico. The match with Trinidad and Tobago on Monday continued that inconsistent run.
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Suriname are currently at their peak. “Natio,” of course, are in a way part of world football history. Legends such as Rijkaard and Gullit, Kluivert and Seedorf, Davids and Wijnaldum, as well as part of the current Netherlands squad — Van Dijk, Dumfries, Gravenberch, Xavi Simons — could have represented their homeland or that of their parents, but instead play for the former metropole. Lately, however, the team itself has been showing noticeable progress, becoming more competitive even against stronger regional opponents. Their results have been more stable than before, especially in qualification matches where they managed to stay in contention until the very end. It is no surprise that, being assembled on a “leftover principle,” this small South American nation has not achieved major success even at the CONCACAF level. Although they played in two of the last three Gold Cups and remain in League A of the Nations League. Most importantly, this time they stayed competitive in qualification until the very end, eventually becoming one of the two best runners-up in a group with Panama, Guatemala, and El Salvador, collecting 9 points.
Although both national teams are located in South America, they compete in different football confederations and have never faced each other, even in friendly matches. A high-scoring game is unlikely here — we bet on under 2.5 total goals.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
