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Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction 18 October 2025

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction 18 October 2025

Bayern Munich take on the visitors Borussia Dortmund in the round 7 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Saturday, October 18th at Allianz Arena (Munich).

Bayern are showing a perfect record. The “Star of the South” has always been a powerhouse. But in 2024, they shocked everyone — first by finishing only third in the Bundesliga with no trophies, and then by choosing Vincent Kompany, freshly relegated with Burnley from the Premier League, to rebuild the project. Not everything went smoothly for the Belgian — from an early cup exit a year ago to a defeat at the Club World Cup this summer. But most importantly, he brought back the Meisterschale so convincingly that there was no doubt about who the true champions were. Now, the “Rekordmeister” are defeating literally everyone without exception. They have already claimed the German Super Cup, started their Champions League campaign with two straight wins — including a 3–1 victory over Chelsea — and built a solid lead in the Bundesliga table. Their attacking line has been ruthless, combining fluid movement with lethal finishing. Bayern look dominant not only domestically but also in Europe, and their defensive discipline under Kompany has improved significantly compared to last season.

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Borussia Dortmund clearly made a mistake appointing Nuri Şahin in the summer. The former club midfielder nearly led the side to collapse before being replaced in time by Niko Kovač. The Croatian has indeed steadied the team, guiding them back up to fourth place in the Bundesliga table. However, in other competitions — notably the Champions League and later the Club World Cup — results have been disappointing. Recently, Dortmund have shown resilience but also inconsistency: despite several wins, they have dropped valuable points due to late goals conceded. That happened both against St. Pauli in the Bundesliga and Juventus in the Champions League. Just before the international break, they were held to a 1–1 draw by RB Leipzig. Kovač’s side is improving in terms of structure and pressing intensity, but their defense still looks vulnerable against top-tier opposition. Offensively, thye are dangerous, yet the team often struggles to convert dominance into decisive goals.

The champions haven’t won a “Der Klassiker” since 2023! In fact, it was Borussia who won in the spring of last year, followed by two consecutive draws. It’s about time for Kimmich and company to defeat their old rivals again. The hosts should prevail here — and given their form, backing Bayern with a -1.5 goals handicap looks like the right call.

Prediction for the match: Bayern Munich to win with -1.5 handicap.

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Sam Wilson
Sports tipster