Bahia take on Cruzeiro in the round 11 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, June 23rd at Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador).
Bahia has started the championship remarkably well, surprising many, given that the team finished only 16th in Serie A last season. We'll see how long the "Tricolor" can maintain this momentum. For now, they certainly deserve respect. However, in this match against Cruzeiro, I don't consider the hosts as the favorites. In June, Bahia played four matches in the championship and secured only one victory. In the other June matches, they drew with Atlético Mineiro (1-1) and Criciúma (2-2) and suffered their first league defeat (against Flamengo 1-2) in the previous nine rounds.
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Cruzeiro Mineiro has also started the current season splendidly, although they performed only slightly better last season, finishing 14th in Serie A. Currently, the "Foxes" are just behind Bahia in the table, trailing by only one point. However, they have played one match less than their opponent. Therefore, it's fair to say that the visitors are doing even better in the league in terms of points lost than the hosts. Cruzeiro has also suffered two defeats, just like their opponent. But the "Blues" have gone unbeaten for three consecutive rounds and have lost only once in their last six matches. In the other five matches during this period, the team collected 13 out of a possible 15 points: victories over Vitória Bahia (3-1), Atlético-GO (1-0), Cuiabá (2-1), Fluminense (2-0), plus a goalless draw with Vasco da Gama.
In the current season, both teams, who will meet at the "Fonte Nova" stadium, have left a positive impression. They have an equal number of wins and losses and are neck and neck in the table. To me, this is a match between two evenly matched opponents at the moment. Such games are often called "three-way outcomes." Of course, you could look for neutral bets like Over 2.5 Goals. However, I will cover two out of the three possible outcomes with my prediction. I believe this is logical and quite reasonable. My bet is X2, the visitors will at least not lose. In conclusion, I’d like to note that in the last nine head-to-head encounters, Bahia has only managed to come out stronger than Cruzeiro once.
Prediction for the match: Cruzeiro not to lose (X2).
