Atletico Mineiro take on the visitors Flamengo in the round 14 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Thursday, July 4th at MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte).
Atlético Mineiro are currently sitting in tenth place in the Série A table. They are just three points away from breaking into the top six. The team went seven consecutive rounds without a loss in the championship, and in the following five matches, they only suffered two defeats. Only one of those losses was at home, and it was against the reigning champions Palmeiras. At home, the "Roosters" play very well, and even when things don't go their way, they manage to secure points through sheer determination: a victory in the derby against Cruzeiro Mineiro (3-0), draws with Criciúma (1-1), Bahia (1-1), Fortaleza (1-1), and Atlético-GO (1-1).
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There is a good chance that the resilient hosts will make Flamengo share the points as well. Even though Flamengo is currently leading the championship, they do have their weaknesses. At home, the "Vultures" are superb and, apart from a loss to Botafogo (0-2), they have won all their matches. However, away from home, the "Red and Blacks" occasionally drop points. They drew with Palmeiras (0-0), Atlético Paranaense (1-1), and Bragantino (1-1) on the road, and in their most recent away match in Série A, they lost to Juventude (1-2), a team that was playing in Série B just a year ago.
At first glance, it might seem like the bookmakers made a mistake with the odds, as the league leader should be considered the favorite in a match against the tenth-placed team, even if it is an away game. However, I also have no confidence in the visitors' victory. Both teams have the same number of losses at the start of the championship - two each. Recently, the "Vultures" have not been particularly convincing on the road, while the "Roosters" have been very tough to beat at home and have barely lost this season. In terms of betting, I would choose a "1X" (home win or draw). I believe that Atlético can at least secure a draw in this match. And let's not forget that in the most recent head-to-head clash, the "Roosters" pecked the "Vultures" on their home turf in Rio (3-0).
Prediction for the match: Atletico Mineiro not to lose (1X).
