Atletico Madrid take on the visitors Real Madid in the semifinal match of Spanish Super Cup. The match will be played on Thursday, January 8th at King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah).
Atletico have been loyal to one coach, Simeone, for a record-breaking period. However, there have been no new trophies under Diego for quite some time, and in 2024 they even finished only fourth in La Liga. After a series of signings last season, the club tried to keep pace with Real Madrid and Barcelona, but eventually lost to both across all competitions, finishing third in La Liga once again. The current campaign started heavily, but then momentum was built, including an emphatic 5–2 win over the Whites. There was a moment when Atletico could have climbed to the top, but instead they lost to the Blaugrana and then to Athletic. As a result, they went into the holidays again in third place, trailing their main rivals. Already in January, there was another slip against Real Sociedad, ending in a high-scoring draw. Overall, Atletico look competitive but lack consistency against direct rivals. Their recent results suggest a solid level, yet not enough stability to regularly convert strong performances into winning streaks.
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Real Madrid hope to finally claim a titleю The Royal Club won plenty of silverware two seasons ago and later added both the UEFA Super Cup and the Intercontinental Cup. However, elimination by Arsenal in the Champions League and being outperformed by Barcelona domestically proved fatal for Ancelotti. His successor, Xabi Alonso, managed to win El Clasico matches, but internal tensions and a series of slips in November and December cost Real Madrid first place in La Liga. Still, Florentino Perez continues to back the young coach. January began with Alonso still in charge, and against Betis the team produced an impressive 5–1 win, even though they again failed to keep a clean sheet. Recent matches show that Real Madrid are gradually regaining confidence and attacking sharpness. Their form indicates progress, but defensive lapses still prevent them from fully controlling big games.
The Galacticos have won only one of the last eleven meetings in regular time. Yes, they lost just three times in that run, but those defeats include both of the most recent matches. It feels like the Royal Club are due to finally win this derby. Still, it is wiser to apply a 0 handicap on the visitors.
Prediction for the match: Real Madrid to win with 0.0 handicap.
