Atletico Goianiense take on the visitors Bahia in the round 19 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Thursday, July 25th at Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia).
Atlético-GO is currently having a disastrous season, sitting at the bottom of the table in second-to-last place, facing a serious risk of relegation back to Serie B if they don't start picking up points soon. The team's main weakness is its defense, which often resembles a revolving door. In 18 rounds, Atlético has conceded 28 goals. It's worth noting that even when losing match after match, the team from Goiás has been scoring in almost every game recently, helping opponents hit the Over 2.5 goals mark. They even manage to do this on their own at times. In four of their last five league matches, three or more goals have been scored. Fortunately, the upcoming match's squad doesn't include any injured key attackers. The only recent addition to the club's injury list is defender Bruno Tubaio.
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Thanks to their stellar home performances, they are currently in the Copa Libertadores qualification zone. However, their recent away form has been dreadful, losing three of their last four away matches. Nonetheless, they should be able to score against a team like Atlético with its porous defense. However, they could also concede as many or even more, as they've kept a clean sheet only once in their last ten games. Like their opponents, Bahia's attacking line is in full force. However, they will miss three players who could have bolstered their defense, increasing the likelihood of conceding goals. Defenders Gabriel Xavier (16 matches this season) and Kanu (14 matches), as well as midfielder Siao Alexandre (18 matches, 2 goals), will miss the upcoming Serie A match due to yellow card suspensions.
Bahia has undoubtedly performed better than Atlético-GO this season. However, their away form has been frankly poor, and they come into this match with significant squad issues. Moreover, in recent years, Atlético-GO has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters. Considering all these factors, I won't bet on the outcome of the match. Instead, I'll go with the Over 2.5 goals bet. Despite the challenges mentioned above, Bahia looks stronger in the league. Even away from home, the sixth-placed team should be able to score at least one goal against a team from the bottom of the table, possibly more. Atlético, on their home turf, could also score one or two goals. In 18 rounds of the current Serie A season, the hosts, along with their opponents, have hit the Over 2.5 goals mark nine times, while the visitors have done so in 11 instances. I expect at least three goals in this match.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 scored goals.
