Athletico Paranaense take on the visitors Sao Paulo in the round 14 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Thursday, July 4th at Ligga Arena (Curitiba).
Atlético Paranaense, which finished in only eighth place in the table last season, is looking much better in the new championship. Not long ago, the team was in the top 4 and is currently in fifth place, just three points behind the leader. Two-thirds of their total points have been earned at home. The "Hurricane" has already suffered three defeats this season, but all of them were away games. At home, Atlético has defeated Cuiabá (4-0), Vasco da Gama (1-0), Internacional (1-0), and Criciúma (3-1), and has drawn with Flamengo (1-1) and Corinthians (1-1). In their last six matches, they have only lost once. In their most recent away game in the league, they secured a victory over Vitória Bahia (1-0).
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São Paulo finished last season in Serie A in only 11th place. Currently, the team is just one point behind the hosts of the upcoming match and is also among the group of leaders. Recently, the "Tricolor" went four consecutive matches without a win: drawing with Internacional (1-1) and Corinthians (2-2), and losing to Cuiabá (0-1) and Vasco da Gama (1-4). Yes, after that, São Paulo consecutively defeated Criciúma and Bahia, but both of these victories were secured at home. The "Tricolor" are generally good at home, having won four of their six victories this season on their home turf. Away, they have two wins, two losses, and two draws.
In this match, two teams that have started the new season quite successfully will face off. In a match between neighbors in the table, with teams in fifth and sixth places respectively, the balance could tip in either direction. Essentially, with equal risk, one could bet on either the home team or the visitors. However, I give a slight preference to Atlético, in whose success I have a bit more faith than in a victory for São Paulo. Recently, the "Red and Black" have rarely lost in the league, while the "Tricolor" have not been winning as often. And if they do, it's usually at home. In the last two duels at Atlético's ground, the hosts at least did not lose: a 1-0 win and a 1-1 draw. I'm taking a "Draw No Bet" (0 handicap) on the "Hurricane." I think there's a good chance of at least getting a push on the bet.
Prediction for the match: Athletico Paranaense to win with 0.0 handicap.
