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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction 21 December 2024

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction 21 December 2024

Aston Villa take on the visitors Manchester City in the round 17 match of English Premier League. The match will be played on Saturday, December 21st at Villa Park (Barmingham).

Aston Villa has always been an ambitious club, cherishing its storied history. However, success had eluded them for years—until they brought Unai Emery back to England. The Spaniard left Villarreal mid-season, where he had been performing well, and Villa took a calculated risk in giving him a second chance after his Arsenal stint ended in dismissal. It paid off: Emery guided the team to a 7th-place finish despite taking over mid-campaign, and last spring, despite their involvement in the Europa Conference League, they achieved a remarkable 4th place in the Premier League, earning a Champions League debut. In Europe, Villa has already claimed impressive victories over Young Boys, Bologna, and even Bayern Munich. Though they suffered a loss to Club Brugge and a goalless draw with Juventus, their recent 3-2 win over RB Leipzig shows signs of recovery. Domestically, a poor spell saw them exit the League Cup and manage only one win and seven points in eight league matches, which hurt their standing in the Premier League table. However, victories against Brentford and Southampton offered hope, though their latest defeat to Nottingham Forest underscores lingering inconsistency.

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For a club of Manchester City’s stature, the previous season’s achievements felt underwhelming after their historic treble the year before. While they secured another Premier League title, the UEFA Super Cup, and the FIFA Club World Cup, their Champions League campaign ended prematurely with a penalty shootout loss to Real Madrid. This summer’s transfer window raised eyebrows—aside from signing Savio and re-signing İlkay Gündoğan, they made few reinforcements and failed to replace the sold Julián Álvarez adequately. Pep Guardiola’s perceived overconfidence backfired, especially when key players like Rodri suffered injuries. The result was a dramatic slump in the autumn: six losses and a draw with Feyenoord (where City squandered a 3-0 lead). While a commanding 3-0 win over Nottingham Forest suggested a turnaround, it was short-lived. Subsequent games included a disappointing draw with relegation-threatened Crystal Palace, a 0-2 defeat to Juventus, and a dramatic derby loss to Manchester United, where a late collapse, highlighted by a costly mistake from Matheus Nunes, turned a 1-0 lead into a 1-2 defeat.

Aston Villa has started to hold their own in home fixtures against City. Two seasons ago, they earned a draw, and last year, they managed a stunning win in Birmingham. Despite City’s recent struggles, they remain the favorites. However, their inconsistency—and Villa’s ability to capitalize at home—leaves room for surprises. A safer bet might be on "over 3.0 goals," as both teams have shown attacking quality and defensive vulnerabilities.

Prediction for the match: Over 3.0 scored goals.

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Dylan McLaughlin
Football tipster