Aston Villa take on the visitors Chelsea in the round 29 match of English Premier League. The match will be played on March, March 4th at Villa Park (Birmingham).
Aston Villa have clearly improved under the current manager. A year ago, effectively debuting in the modern Champions League format, the English side were stopped only in the play-offs, and even then they put up a fight against the eventual winners, Paris Saint-Germain. However, that season ended with a frustrating setback: despite collecting the same number of points as Newcastle United, they still handed over fifth place on tiebreakers. As a result, they are playing in the Europa League this time, and successfully so — their play-off campaign is still ahead. At home, though, they were eliminated from both domestic cups rather quickly. In the Premier League, after overcoming a slow start and even breaking into the top three, they began to lose ground in winter. In the most recent rounds, following a cup setback against Newcastle, there was only a draw with Leeds United, and then a defeat to bottom side Wolverhampton Wanderers. Recent results highlight that Aston Villa have struggled to maintain consistency at a crucial stage of the season. Dropped points against lower-ranked opposition have noticeably affected their position in the table.
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Chelsea have stabilized their play after the change of manager. The Blues, after a series of failures, appointed Maresca in the summer before last. He seemed to accomplish a lot: returning to the top four in the Premier League and winning trophies — the Conference League and even the Club World Cup. The new season also did not look disastrous and, overall, was at least solid. Still, disagreements with the board led to his dismissal around the New Year. Soon after, a new manager arrived, under whom there has been only one major setback — a defeat to Arsenal in the League Cup semi-final. At the same time, Chelsea were winning in the Champions League, progressing in the FA Cup, and taking points in the majority of their Premier League matches. However, their most recent outings have not been ideal either — there was only a draw with Burnley, followed by a defeat to Arsenal while playing a man down. Even so, Chelsea’s overall run since the managerial change has been positive and structured. They look more balanced and competitive, especially in high-pressure fixtures.
In 2024, draws alternated with wins for the Blues, but in the following calendar year both matches ended in victories for their opponent. The pair look evenly matched in the odds. A high-scoring spectacle is unlikely here — the logical bet is on total goals under 3.0.
Prediction for the match: Under 3.0 scored goals.
