AS Roma take on the visitors Genoa in the round 37 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, April 19th at Stadio Olimpico (Rome).
At the end of April and beginning of May, Roma faced a very challenging schedule. Indeed, they have now gone three rounds in a row without a win in the league: drawing with Napoli (1-1) and Juventus (1-1), and losing to Atalanta (1-2). Plus, between the matches with Napoli and Juventus, the Romans had a Europa League fixture against Bayer Leverkusen. So, we should consider the level of their opponents when evaluating the recent poor results of the Giallorossi. In the remaining two league matches, Roma will face Genoa and Empoli. They don't need to spread themselves thin in other tournaments. I believe the team is capable of securing six points in these two rounds.
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The performance of the Grifone has exceeded expectations, and with two rounds left, the team is comfortably sitting in 11th place, 14 points clear of the relegation zone. It's worth noting that Genoa have been playing well even towards the end of the season, collecting 7 out of 9 possible points in their last three matches, including an away draw with AC Milan (3-3). However, the other two matches were home games. Meanwhile, Roma recently defeated Milan twice. Genoa deserves praise for the season, but in their last ten league matches, they have lost three times: to Inter (1-2), Monza (2-3), and Lazio (0-1).
Bookmakers have made the team from the capital the favorite in this match, and this time I agree with them. Despite my sympathy and respect for Alberto Gilardino's team, they have no real motivation left. In contrast, Roma theoretically still has a chance to qualify for the Champions League and is definitely looking to secure a spot in the Europa League next season. It's time for the capital's Wolves to end their winless streak and reward their fans at the Stadio Olimpico with a victory in their final home game of the season. I believe in Roma's success much more than in the hosts dropping points. Considering this, I think the chances are higher for a bet on Roma with a handicap of -1 than for a draw. Even if it might seem like a safe bet to many, my prediction is a handicap of -1 for Roma.
Prediction for the match: AS Roma to win with -1.0 handicap.