Arsenal take on the visitors Newcastle in the first leg of English Football League Cup semifinals. The match will be played on Tuesday, January 7th at Emirates Stadium (London).
Arsenal are not first in the Premier League again. The Gunners have certainly improved under Arteta. They have already been the main pursuers for Manchester City twice, although Guardiola's charges were still slightly stronger - in 2023/2024 the difference was only 2 points, despite the fact that the London club simultaneously returned to the Champions League. Now, it seems that the "red-whites" have strengthened, but at the same time they are noticeably weaker than Liverpool, and after a number of misfires in recent months, the gap has become very significant. And now, after a number of victories, including with Brentford, they have limited themselves to only a draw with Brighton. So the League Cup looks like the easiest way to get to the title, there are only two more difficult rounds to overcome - before that, Bolton, Preston and Crystal Palace were passed.
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Newcastle got Howe to their new manager right after the change of ownership. And Eddie did a good job of justifying the trust of investors from Saudi Arabia. At first, he kept the club in the Premier League, although relegation to the Championship seemed inevitable. Then he even managed to take 4th place. Last season, however, was not the best: in the Champions League, the long-awaited return turned into the last position, albeit in a difficult group. And in the domestic arena, they finished only 7th, and due to the victory in the Manchester United Cup, they did not even get a pass to the Conference League. And perhaps that is why the squad was not really strengthened in the summer. And not everything worked out for the “black and whites”. But a series of victories at the end of the year even allowed them to climb to 5th place. In 2025, they also manage to win - 2-0 with Manchester United, 2-1 with Tottenham. And in the League Cup, where Howe is traditionally successful, they beat not only Wimbledon, but also Nottingham Forest (only on penalties), Chelsea and Brentford.
In the last four head-to-head matches, the clubs strictly alternated victories over each other It will not be so easy for the Gunners to justify their status as favorites, playing at home against a team that has gained excellent form. We bet on the visitors with a handicap of +1.0 goals.
Prediction for the match: Newcastle to win with +1.0 handicap.