Arsenal take on the visitors Chelsea in the round 29 match of English Premier League. The match will be played on Sunday, March 16th at Emirates Stadium (London).
Arsenal remain in their familiar position. Mikel Arteta has ensured steady and undeniable progress, yet he still hasn’t managed to surpass his mentor and former boss, Pep Guardiola—not in the 2022/23 season, nor in the previous campaign, finishing as runners-up both times. This season, Manchester City is finally behind them, but what does it matter? Liverpool has effectively killed off the title race by spring, aided in part by Arsenal’s own stumbles. Most notably, they dropped points in a 1-1 draw against their long-time rivals, Manchester United. Additionally, they suffered a frustrating FA Cup exit against United on penalties despite having a numerical advantage. In the League Cup, they only reached the semifinals, where they lost both legs 2-0 to Newcastle. That leaves the Champions League as their primary target, where they have been impressive—topping their group before demolishing Feyenoord 7-1 away in the Round of 16, followed by a 2-2 draw at home to secure progression. Their attacking form in Europe suggests they could be a real threat in the latter stages of the tournament.
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Chelsea hopes for a strong finish to the season. The Blues had to undergo a forced ownership change, but Todd Boehly’s reign has been turbulent. Not only have they failed to win any trophies, but despite record-breaking transfer spending each summer, they have repeatedly finished outside the top four. The 2022/23 season was a disaster, while in 2023/24, Mauricio Pochettino could only guide them to a sixth-place finish before losing the EFL Cup final to Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool—an outcome that ultimately cost him his job. His successor, Enzo Maresca, knows he faces a similar fate if results don’t improve. Initially, he seemed to have things under control: the team crashed out of the League Cup early but had played with a heavily rotated squad, while in the Europa Conference League, they dominated their group. By the end of 2024, Cole Palmer and the main squad had emerged as Liverpool’s closest challengers in the Premier League—only for things to unravel in the new year. Even in the FA Cup, they suffered an unexpected exit at the hands of an inconsistent Brighton. While Chelsea has remained strong in the Conference League, securing a home and away win over Copenhagen, their league form remains inconsistent. A crucial battle for a top-four finish awaits in the Premier League, but right now, Chelsea doesn’t seem like a leading contender for those spots. However, their narrow win against Leicester provided a much-needed confidence boost.
Arsenal is unbeaten in six official meetings against Chelsea, winning four and drawing twice—including their 2-2 clash in November. There’s no reason to expect a dull London derby. Both teams have plenty of attacking potential, and with Arsenal's offensive form in the Champions League and Chelsea’s unpredictable nature, betting on over 2.5 goals seems like the best option.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 scored goals.
