Arsenal take on the visitors Burnley in the round 37 match of English Premier League. The match will be played on Monday, May 18th at Emirates Stadium (London).
Arsenal undoubtedly made the right call by putting their faith in Arteta as head coach. Under their former captain, they became runners-up while chasing Manchester City, and then Liverpool in the following campaign. It seemed that this would finally be the season of the long-awaited breakthrough, perhaps even with multiple trophies. But first came defeat to the Citizens in the League Cup final, then they allowed themselves to be caught in the Premier League title race. On top of that, they crashed out of the FA Cup after losing to Southampton. In the Champions League, despite a strong league phase, the knockout rounds brought complications. Still, they managed to get past both Bayer Leverkusen and Sporting Lisbon, and in the semi-final against Atlético Madrid they scored one goal more than their opponents across the two legs — 1-1 and 1-0. Arsenal have looked composed in recent league outings, grinding out results even when performances were not entirely convincing. Their ability to keep collecting points under pressure remains one of the few reasons they are still in the conversation. At the same time, no more slip-ups are allowed in the Premier League. There were none in the last round, although the 1-0 win over West Ham was a nerve-shredding affair.
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Burnley have repeated the 2022–2024 scenario. The Clarets are turning into a true yo-yo club between divisions. Under Kompany, after being relegated to the Championship, they bounced straight back into the Premier League — only to suffer another miserable relegation shortly after. The Belgian then left to take charge of Bayern Munich. His successor, Parker, ended up following almost exactly the same path. Burnley were strong in the second tier in 2024/2025, but this season they have already finished in second-from-bottom place, with only the lifeless Wolverhampton below them. Relegation had looked inevitable for weeks, as the team never managed to build any real momentum in the second half of the campaign. Even when opportunities arose against distracted or inconsistent opponents, Burnley rarely showed enough edge to capitalize. As a result, Scott stepped down at the end of last month. Without him, they lost 1-3 to Leeds in early May. Then came a draw against Aston Villa, though Villa were clearly preoccupied with their Europa League campaign and had, in truth, long since taken their foot off the gas in the Premier League run-in.
In the head-to-head meetings, the Red-and-Whites have won four of the last five encounters, with the other match ending in a draw. This is exactly the kind of moment where the Gunners simply cannot afford a mistake. We expect this to end in a convincing home win — goal difference may also matter, so Arsenal should have every reason to push until the end. The pick here is Arsenal -2.5 handicap.
Prediction for the match: Arsenal to win with -2.5 handicap.
