Argentina take on the visitors Bolivia in the round 10 match of South American World Cup qualification. The match will be played on Wednesday, October 16th at Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires).
Under Lionel Scaloni, the "Albiceleste" have made noticeable improvements. They have finally overcome their habit of losing in finals and started winning trophies. Of course, the most significant achievement is the World Cup title they claimed in Qatar in 2022. This summer, they also managed to defend their Copa América title, deservedly so, though not without Emiliano Martínez's heroics in penalty shootouts. Despite Lionel Messi visibly slowing down (and Di María having already retired), they remain among the leaders in qualification. However, setbacks are possible, as seen in September when Argentina's winning streak was snapped in a 2-1 loss to a resilient Colombia. They also failed to defeat Venezuela, only managing a 1-1 draw.
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Bolivia has transformed under their new coach, but how long will the momentum last? The "Greens" have historically been underdogs in South American football. Yes, they have one unique advantage not tied to player talent: their high-altitude home games, where they often succeed as opponents struggle with the thin air. This cycle was predictably poor, with five defeats and just one win against fellow strugglers Peru last fall, along with a dismal 1-10 record across three Copa América matches. However, the appointment of Óscar Villegas as head coach has sparked a turnaround. In September, "La Verde" thrashed Venezuela 4-0 at home and won 2-1 against Chile away. Their momentum hasn’t waned—they recently secured a narrow victory over Colombia as well.
Argentina has won 8 of the last 9 meetings between these sides, including four in a row. Messi and company are, of course, overwhelming favorites. However, it seems the visitors' potential is being underestimated. The bet is on Bolivia to cover the spread with a +3.0 goal handicap.
Prediction for the match: Bolivia to win with +3.0 scored goals.
