Albania take on the visitors Ukraine in the round 6 match of UEFA Nations League group stage. The match will be played on Tuesday, November 19th at Air Albania Stadium (Tirana).
Albania made their European Championship debut in 2016 and returned to the tournament this past summer. The appointment of Sylvinho proved unexpectedly effective, with Albania securing direct qualification through last year’s campaign. Predictably, results at the Euros were modest—they scored a record-breaking early goal against Italy but lost to the Azzurri as well as Spain’s reserve lineup in the final group game. A dramatic last-minute equalizer against Croatia salvaged a single point. This autumn, Albania began with a 2-1 “away” victory over Ukraine but faltered with losses to Georgia and the Czech Republic. In October, they bounced back with a 1-0 win in Tbilisi and a pragmatic 0-0 draw at home against Ivan Hašek’s Georgian side in the fifth round. Albania’s defensive structure, as seen in their draw with Georgia, could frustrate Ukraine’s attack, which has struggled for creativity.
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Ukraine are facing a difficult six months. The Yellow and Blues showed improvement under Serhiy Rebrov, nearly securing direct Euro qualification before losing out to Italy on goal difference. They advanced to the tournament via playoff wins over Bosnia and Iceland, both involving late comebacks after conceding first. However, troubling signs emerged during preparations—a heavy friendly defeat to Poland preceded a disastrous 1-4 opening loss to Romania at the Euros. Despite beating Slovakia and drawing with Belgium, Ukraine finished bottom of their group with four points. In the Nations League, they began with back-to-back losses to Albania and the Czech Republic. Recent matches showed mixed fortunes: with several new players like Kalyuzhnyi called up in October, Ukraine edged past Georgia and drew in Prague. In the fifth round, they managed a scrappy 1-1 draw in Tbilisi, opening the scoring through an own goal but failing to capitalize further. Ukraine’s reliance on late-game heroics makes them unpredictable but also vulnerable to well-organized teams.
Until this year, Ukraine dominated Albania with five wins and one draw. Ukraine’s recent form has been uninspiring, with defensive lapses and inconsistent performances plaguing their campaign. On the other hand, Albania has shown resilience at home and demonstrated pragmatic play under Sylvinho. Expect the hosts to at least avoid defeat in this encounter - Albania will not lose. A double chance bet (1X) is a solid option. A low-scoring match is likely, given both sides' cautious approaches in recent fixtures.
Prediction for the match: Albania not to lose (1X).
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