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Alaves vs Girona Prediction 23 February 2026

Alaves vs Girona Prediction 23 February 2026

Alaves take on the visitors Girona in the round 25 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Monday, February 23rd at Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz).

Alavés are not a team from whom you normally expect surprises, even though a couple of times in their history they have managed to spring one. Right now, however, they are doing a solid job of collecting enough points to stay clear of the danger zone. Last season, with 42 points, the club from Vitoria finished fifteenth on tiebreakers. Little has changed this time around: in the cup they lasted until February, losing only in the quarter-finals to Real Sociedad, while in La Liga they have been averaging just over a point per round, without much flair, which is more than enough to keep a safe distance from relegation. It helped that after a couple of consecutive defeats they managed to earn a draw against Sevilla. Overall form remains steady rather than impressive, but consistency has been their main strength. At home, Alavés continue to rely on a pragmatic approach that often keeps matches tight and low-scoring.

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Girona can breathe a little easier, but it is still too early to relax. The Gironins made a lot of noise two seasons ago, even finishing above Atlético and ending the campaign in third place. But in 2024/2025 they were harshly brought back down to earth: a failed Champions League debut, an early cup exit, and only a minimal advantage in La Liga over relegated Leganés. It seemed relegation to the Segunda was merely postponed for a year, especially as the new season began with a string of defeats. Gradually, though, they managed to pick up momentum, including thanks to goals scored after deadline-day business. In December and January they collected four wins in five rounds, a surge that lifted them from the relegation zone into mid-table. After that came only draws with Getafe and Sevilla, and even a defeat to newly promoted strugglers Oviedo. All the more surprising was last Monday’s comeback 2–1 victory over Barcelona. Even so, recent results suggest their form is still uneven. Away from home, Girona have continued to struggle for consistency despite that headline win.

In the last five official head-to-head matches, including the one in November, the Gironins have won four times, suffering just a single defeat. This is unlikely to be an entertaining encounter. The bet here is on a pragmatic outcome, with under 2.5 total goals.

Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.

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Sam Wilson
Sports tipster