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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction 5 April 2025

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction 5 April 2025

AC Milan take on the visitors Fiorentina in the round 31 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Saturday, April 5th at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan).

Milan made significant progress under Pioli, with the long-awaited Scudetto standing out as the highlight. They couldn’t defend the title, but still managed to finish second last year — a solid result for an ambitious side. However, the club brought in a new manager over the summer, Paulo Fonseca, and early stumbles quickly followed. His successor and compatriot, Sérgio Conceição, initially looked far more convincing — he immediately won the Supercoppa, defeating the likes of Juventus and Inter. But then came a string of disappointing results, the most painful of which was the early Champions League exit in February at the hands of Feyenoord — even though the Dutch side had just sold Giménez, who ironically scored against his former club. This week brings a new Derby della Madonnina, in the Coppa Italia semi-final first leg against Inter. In Serie A, form remains patchy — they quickly conceded twice to Napoli and ended up losing the match. Milan have now dropped points in three of their last five league games, raising questions about their consistency and depth.

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Fiorentina also changed managers before the new campaign. La Viola showed improvement under Palladino. But while an 8th-place finish in 2022/2023 and a Conference League final loss were viewed as signs of progress, repeating those same results the following season felt like stagnation, or even a step backward. As a result, Vincenzo Italiano was replaced by Raffaele Palladino. His tenure has been a mixed bag, with some strong performances followed by disappointing stretches. Ironically, Fiorentina are once again in position to replicate last season’s outcome. They are into the Conference League quarterfinals, where they’ll be clear favorites against Slovenian side Celje. In Serie A, results have been decent, but far from spectacular. They beat Atalanta 1-0 in the last round — a win that lifted them right back into the now-familiar 8th spot. Despite some inconsistencies, Fiorentina have lost only once in their last six league matches, showing improved discipline and structure.

The two sides have exchanged wins in both the 2023 and 2024 calendar years. The Rossoneri are considered clear favorites at home. However, La Viola have picked up a couple of confidence-boosting victories and should be capable of getting a result — back Fiorentina to avoid defeat.

Prediction for the match: Fiorentina not to lose (X2).

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Sam Wilson
Sports tipster