AC Milan take on the visitors Fiorentina in the round 7 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, October 19th at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan).
Milan bring back their former coach in search of revival. The Rossoneri not so long ago, under Stefano Pioli, captured the Scudetto. He left after finishing runners-up in 2024. What followed was a disastrous “Portuguese” season — first under Paulo Fonseca, and then under Sérgio Conceição, who began brightly by winning the domestic Super Cup but soon oversaw a collapse. Milan crashed out early in the Champions League, slipped into mid-table in Serie A, and capped it all with a painful Coppa Italia final defeat to Bologna. To fix the crisis, the club turned back to Massimiliano Allegri. His second debut ended in a disappointing draw with Cremonese, but soon after Milan found their rhythm, stringing together several wins and even overtaking Napoli for first place. However, a goalless draw in Turin against Juventus — with Pulisic missing a penalty — cost them the top spot. Under Allegri, the defense has looked more organized and compact, while Leão and Giroud are gradually rediscovering their form in attack. The team seems to be regaining the discipline and tactical sharpness that were trademarks of Allegri’s first tenure.
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Fiorentina were twice runners-up in the Europa Conference League but delivered only average domestic campaigns. In 2024, they appointed Raffaele Palladino, who had built his reputation at Monza — a club that immediately collapsed without him. He managed to earn 65 points and edge Lazio for sixth place, but the result still left Fiorentina in the Conference League rather than higher-tier European competition. This summer, Pioli returned to Florence, taking charge of his former club. He guided the side past Polissya in qualifying and Sigma Olomouc in the main round, but in Serie A, things have been bleak — three defeats and three draws so far, with twice as many goals conceded as scored, leaving them just above the relegation zone. Inconsistent finishing and defensive lapses have haunted the team, despite flashes of promise from Nico González and Beltrán. Pioli is under pressure to stabilize results quickly, especially after a frustrating 1-2 home loss to Torino last weekend.
Two seasons ago, still under Pioli, the Rossoneri won both league encounters. But without him, in 2024/2025, they managed to take just one point from the two matches. The hosts look far more confident and structured at the moment. The bet is on Milan to win, even with a -1.0 goal handicap.
Prediction for the match: AC Milan to win with -1.0 handicap.
