Zeljeznicar take on the visitors Neftci Baku in the first leg of UEFA Conference League qualification quarterfinals. The match will be played on Thursday, July 27th at Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo).
The bronze medalist of the previous championship in Bosnia and Herzegovina has already managed to eliminate Minsk's Dynamo in the previous round of the Conference League. At home, the "Blues" played a resultative draw with the Belarusians, ending 2-2. And in the away match, they won 2-1. Overall, the Bosnians' performance was not super-resultative, but they don't settle for dull goalless draws either. In their last 10 battles, at least two goals were scored in each game. In the past championship, Zeljeznicar had a goal difference of 42-35 in 33 matches, which averages to more than two goals per game.
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Neftci also won bronze medals in their previous championship and displayed an even more resultative performance than their upcoming opponent. They delighted their rivals 63 times in 36 rounds, but also conceded 38 goals themselves. After the championship, the Azerbaijani team played 4 friendlies, and unfortunately, lost all four. However, it should be noted that unlike Zeljeznicar, Neftci faced solid opponents in those matches, including Zenit, Moscow Spartak, Crvena Zvezda, and Fenerbahce. Nevertheless, even though they faced prominent teams, these friendly matches did not add any vigor to the players.
Zeljeznicar already have the momentum of official matches, while Neftci does not. Zeljeznicar eliminated a team no weaker than Neftci from the tournament. Although the Azerbaijani team played four friendly matches against strong clubs, they didn't manage to secure a single draw. Zeljeznicar remains unbeaten in their last 10 matches, while Neftci secured victory only twice in their last 10 encounters. Finally, Zeljeznicar will be playing at home. Considering all the data, I dare to assume that the "Blues" will, at the very least, not lose in this match. Moreover, judging by the teams' goal-scoring records, they will most likely manage to score at least two goals together.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.0 scored goals.
