Zamalek take on the visitors Ghazl El Mahallah in the round 32 match of Egyptian Premier League. The match will be played on Tuesday, June 27th at Cairo International Stadium (Cairo).
Zamalek are considered the favorite by bookmakers in this match. However, in essence, this game doesn't solve anything for the home team. Overall, the reigning country champion has had a disappointing season, not only missing out on the gold but also any medals of significance. They cannot move higher than fourth place in the standings, nor can they drop lower. The upcoming cup match is where all their efforts will be directed, as there is a real chance to win some kind of trophy. Despite their recent results, Zamalek has conceded at least once in three out of their last five league matches. I believe they will allow at least one goal against the former champion in this match.
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Ghazl El Mahalla, undoubtedly, appear as the underdog against such an opponent. However, that's only on paper. Unlike the hosts, the guests have an extraordinary motivation. They are fighting for survival in the league, currently sitting in the relegation zone, trailing Aswan and Tala El-Gaish on additional tiebreaker criteria. El-Mahalla had a disappointing finish to the season, but in the last round, they managed to score and ended their goalless streak. Everything is at stake for the guests in this match. I'm not sure if they will be able to secure those valuable and crucial points, but there is no point in sitting back defensively. I believe they can score at least one goal.
Certainly, one could simply bet on "Home Win" (P1), as the hosts are objectively stronger than the guests. And there is a good chance that Zamalek will win this match. But there is also a possibility that they won't. As I mentioned earlier, the hosts have nothing to gain in the championship, and their position in the standings won't change. On the other hand, the guests desperately need points, and it's preferable for them to win as a draw might not be enough to secure their place. Therefore, I believe El-Mahalla will go on the attack with great determination. They have nothing to lose. And they are capable of scoring at least one goal against the opponent. Due to the lack of motivation, Zamalek may concede due to defensive relaxation or if they decide to play an open style of football. Finally, I would like to add that in two out of the last three head-to-head matches against this opponent, Zamalek couldn't keep a clean sheet and even lost two of those three matches: 0-3 and 1-2. I believe in a goal from the guests!
Prediction for the match: Ghazl El Mahallah to score – yes.
