Zalgiris take on the visitors Suduva in the round 23 match pf Lithuanian A Lyga. The match will be played on Friday, July 21st at LFF stadionas (Vilnius).
Zalgiris are the clear favorite in this match according to the bookmakers, and it's understandable as this team is simply stronger than their opponent. In the championship, they are competing for top positions and currently sit in the second place. They have won four consecutive matches in the league, which is impressive. However, let's not forget that Zalgiris is also simultaneously participating in the UEFA Champions League qualifying round. In a two-legged confrontation, they managed to progress further in the tournament, although they were considered obvious favorites against the modest Struga Trim-Lum by the bookmakers. In reality, they only achieved a 0-0 draw at home and won 2-1 away.
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Just four years ago, Suduva became the champion of Lithuania, but now the team is struggling to survive in the country's top league. They are only one point away from the relegation zone, so they will fight for every point, even in away matches against clear favorites. Yes, the guests noticeably lag behind the hosts in terms of skill. However, recently Suduva, if they lose, it's only by a margin of no more than one goal: against Banga (0-1), Hegelmann Lithuania (0-1), and Šauliai FA (2-3). Moreover, in the last five matches, they had draws with teams named Riteriai (0-0) and Kauno Žalgiris (1-1).
There is no doubt that the hosts are stronger than the opponents and logically should secure the expected three points. But, as I mentioned earlier, footballers are not robots. While the guests have had a break since July 8th, Zalgiris have played two extremely challenging matches in the UEFA Champions League. That's what I'm basing my handicap bet (+1.5) on Suduva. The fatigue of the hosts combined with the guests' extraordinary motivation to collect points in the battle for survival can potentially bring a viable advantage. Besides, recent head-to-head matches against Suduva have not been a walk in the park for Zalgiris. In the last four encounters, the favorite has only won with a margin of more than one goal once, and in the previous meeting, Suduva won 2-1. The bet is on Suduva with a +1.5 handicap.
Prediction for the match: Suduva to win with +1.5 handicap.
