Wolfsburg hosts Sevilla in round 2 of the Champions League group stage. The match will be played on Wednesday, September 29th at Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)
Under Labbadia, Wolfsburg was a spectacular team, which regularly showed extremely goal-scoring matches. When Glasner came, the Wolves began to act more pragmatically, and now under van Bommel, they rely on defense. Over the course of three years, Wolfsburg has turned into a low-scoring team, and only one out of eight matches of this season ended with more than three goals scored. Even Over 2.5 goals scored took place in only two official games of the Wolves. Now we will rarely see spectacular matches from them.
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Sevilla is a low-scoring team, like the whole LaLiga. For example, in the previous season, the Red-Whites played with Over 3.5 goals scored in only six out of 38 league matches in Spain. And only one game in the current season ended with such an outcome. They rarely get involved in a shootout with their opponents, and their matches are usually quite boring. Having received a numerical advantage by the 16th minute of the match, Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano with only a 3-0 score, although it arranged total domination. Wolfsburg will not allow the Andalusians to play like that.
Sevilla conceded only three goals this season, and Wolfsburg conceded five times. With such a reliable game in defense, we shouldn’t wait for a goal show in their head-to-head match. At the same time, I also believe that the Wolves will at least not lose. It's trite, but Sevilla is a more experienced team. It constantly participates in European competitions and even wins trophies. In addition, Sevilla's roster is stronger at least in terms of the price (it’s more expensive by 150 million euros). But the most important thing to note is that Wolfsburg gained only one victory over a strong opponent. However, Leipzig was clearly in bad shape at that time. The Wolves didn’t manage to beat Eintracht Frankfurt at home, and they were losing for a while. And Hoffenheim beat them. Sevilla also has not gained spectacular victories yet (except over Valencia), but it did not lose to Real Sociedad away, withstanding the onslaught and keeping a clean sheet. The defense of the Red-Whites looks great at the start of the season, and it is definitely ready to cope with the onslaught of Wolfsburg, whose positional attacks rarely pose a serious threat. Accordingly, the Spaniards have good chances of earning points in Germany. And I don’t expect a goal extravaganza.
Prediction for the match: Sevilla to win with +0.5 handicap and Under 4.5 goal scored
