Wolfsburg hosts Freiburg in round 31 of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Saturday, June 13th at Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)
We will see the meeting of two teams that are waging a desperate struggle for 6th place, which gives the right to play in the Europa League. In the remaining four rounds, Wolfsburg has only theoretical chances to take fifth place. However, the Wolves will try to keep their sixth place to the last. At least two more teams (Freiburg and Hoffenheim) can take this coveted place. In other words, the struggle is serious. Nevertheless, Wolfsburg is very unstable, especially at home. After the resumption of the championship, Glasner’s men won three times on the road and lost two times at their home stadium. Is it the “curse” of home matches? We will look and hope that it will continue.
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Freiburg also shows unstable results after the break, alternating three outcomes. Interestingly, the team managed to tie in both away matches (with Leipzig and Eintracht), although it was outscoring. Over 2.5 goals scored took place on only of the last five matches of Streich's men, but they did not lose. And they showed a good defensive game in other meetings – they didn’t concede more than once even in lost matches.
Given the importance of the match, it is unlikely that the statistics of head-to-head meetings will play a big role, although it would more often be in favor of the forecast. A place in European cups is at stake. In such a game, one does not have to wait for many goals or a convincing victory of one of the teams with a difference of several goals. Therefore, I’ll bet on Freiburg’s victory with a +1 handicap.
Prediction for the match: Freiburg to win with +1.0 handicap
