Vitoria Guimaraes take on the visitors Penafiel in the 1/8-finals of Taca de Portugal. The match will be played on Thursday, January 11th at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães).
Vitoria Guimaraes have never risen above the third place in the Primeira Liga. However, they have achieved this position several times and have performed well in cup competitions. In 2013, they even reached their only full-fledged title in the cup, excluding a victory in the Super Cup a quarter of a century earlier. Additionally, the club consistently finishes in the upper third of the table. Last season, they secured the sixth position, and now they are in a fierce battle with Braga for the fourth spot. In the recent match, they managed to avoid defeat at the last moment by equalizing the score.
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Penafiel are stuck in the Segunda and risks falling even lower. The red and black team have not often made it to the top division. Over the last nearly two decades, they spent only the 2014/2015 season there. However, their results at this level are becoming more modest. If there were several seventh-place finishes in the past, last spring, they finished twelfth, and now they are in a genuine struggle for survival. They are averaging too few points per game in this battle to feel comfortable. However, they managed to improve their performance at the turn of the year. In both home matches against Leiria and Vilaverdense, they emerged victorious, and they secured a goalless draw against Maritimo.
The last official matches date back to 2015. Back then, the red and black team drew at home in a league match, and in the cup, they defeated the Conquerors 2-0. A significantly stronger team playing at home. A reasonable bet here would be that the hosts will win with a handicap of -1.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Vitoria Guimaraes to win with -1.5 handicap.
