Villarreal take on the visitors Celta Vigo in the round 32 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Sunday, April 30th at Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal).
I believe that Villarreal are rightfully the favorite in their home match against Celta, and the odds for the home team's victory are even slightly overestimated. In their last six matches, the "yellow submarine" won four times, including against strong opponents such as Osasuna away (3-0), Real Sociedad in a home match (2-0), and the current champions of the country in Madrid (3-2). Yes, they also suffered defeats (against Sevilla and Valladolid), but in the last round, under the guidance of coach Kike Setién, they defeated Espanyol 4-2. Currently, Villarreal is in fifth place in the La Liga table and is unlikely to drop points in their home match against Celta.
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Celta, in the current season, are nothing more than an average team. The guys from Vigo are not competing for high places, and they have a considerable distance to the relegation zone as well. Essentially, the team is just playing out the season. In the last three La Liga matches, under the guidance of Carlos Carvalhal, they scored only one goal, winning against the worst team in the league, Elche (1-0). In Madrid, they lost to the current champions of the country (0-2), who Villarreal recently beat at the Santiago Bernabéu. Celta also suffered a defeat from Mallorca (0-1). I think that losing in an away match against Kike Setién's team will hardly surprise anyone.
In this match, I take the straightforward bet of 1X2 and simply expect the favorite to win, especially since they are playing at home. Thanks to their victory in the previous round, Villarreal moved up to fifth place in the table. Yes, it will be challenging to fight for the top 4, but they also cannot afford to lose their current fifth place - Betis is only one point behind them. Celta no longer has any tournament motivation as such. However, the strong point of the Vigo players is still their home matches. Carlos Carvalhal's team suffered seven out of twelve defeats in the current season in away matches. Villarreal won most of their matches at home - nine out of fifteen. The last personal meeting of the opponents on the "yellow submarine's" field ended with a victory for the hosts. I expect a similar outcome now.
Prediction for the match: Villarreal to win.
