Vasco take on the visitors Goias in the round 11 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Friday, June 23rd at Estádio Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro).
Vasco da Gama-RJ, following the previous season, secured promotion from the fourth position in Serie B to the elite division of the Brazilian championship. However, the club named after the great navigator has not been pleasing its fans for a while now. It has become an ordinary yo-yo team, moving between Serie A and the second-tier league in Brazil. In the new season, Vasco da Gama's performance has been poor, currently occupying the penultimate position in the table with only six points from ten matches, including six defeats. The team's weak point lies in defense, as they have already conceded 19 goals. However, their scoring ability is intact, with 10 goals in 10 matches, averaging exactly one goal per game. In the last four rounds, despite suffering four defeats, Vasco da Gama managed to leave the field without disappointing their opponents.
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Goias are not performing much better than their opponent. In the previous season, the team finished in 13th place in Serie A but currently sits in 17th place, with only two points more than the hosts. While Goias struggled to score goals at the start of the championship, their scoring has improved lately, and the "parakeets" have found their aim. In the last five rounds, they have only failed to disappoint their opponents once, scoring in the remaining four matches: a victory against Botafogo (2-1) and draws against Fluminense (2-2) and Bahia (1-1), as well as a defeat against São Paulo (1-2).
Bookmakers give preference to the hosts in this match. However, I consider it unwise to bet on the outcome of a match between two league underdogs, teams from the relegation zone. Nevertheless, I expect to see a fair number of goals in this encounter, at least 2-3 goals from both teams combined. This is because both teams have looked simply terrible in defense: the hosts have conceded 19 goals in 10 rounds, while the visitors have conceded 18. On average, opponents manage to score nearly two goals per match against them. However, the underdogs themselves also score a decent amount, with Vasco da Gama averaging exactly one goal per game and Goiás close to that mark. Both teams have played on Over 2.5 Total Goals five times already this season. In the last five rounds, both the hosts and the visitors, along with their opponents, have reached this total three times each. Additionally, there has been one match in this period where both teams scored two goals. Therefore, I am betting on an open and entertaining football match. After all, if these weak teams don't show their best in head-to-head encounters, when will they? I'll go for Over 2.0 Goals, and in the worst-case scenario, I expect a refund.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.0 scored goals.
