Valur take on the visitors Fylkir in the round 15 match of Iceland Besta Dield Katla. The match will be played on Wednesday, June 12th at Hlídarendi (Reykjavík).
Valur are a 23-time winner of the Icelandic Premier League and the current country champion. However, the team had an unsuccessful season last year, finishing in sixth place. In the current championship, after 13 matches played, the "Ravens" have accumulated 29 points, placing them in second position in the overall standings. They are approximately 8 points behind the leader, but Valur has one game in hand. After a defeat against Breiðablik (0-1) at the end of May, Valur has been displaying very good results, including victories against Víkingur (3-2), KA Akureyri (5-0), and Vestmannaeyjar (3-0), as well as a draw against Hafnarfjörður (1-1). In their home matches, Valur has played six games, winning three, drawing twice, and suffering one defeat, with a goal difference of 11-6.
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Fylkir, by Icelandic standards, are a modest team with a list of achievements that includes two Icelandic Cup victories (2001, 2002) and a couple of second-place finishes in the early 2000s, as well as a bronze medal in 2009. The current season has not been very successful for Fylkir as they have only gathered 12 points from 14 matches, placing them second to last in the table. Rune Sigurðsson's team has not tasted victory in their last five matches, managing only two draws against KR Reykjavík (3-3) and Keflavík (1-1). In the other three matches, Fylkir suffered defeats against Akureyri (1-2), Víkingur (1-3), and Breiðablik (1-5). In away matches, Fylkir has also struggled, with two draws and four losses, scoring 5 goals and conceding 13.
Valur is the clear favorite in this match. This is evident from both the current form of the teams and their head-to-head meetings. Valur has not lost to their opponent in ten consecutive matches, and even more if we consider only league matches. Therefore, the victory of the home team is unlikely to be in doubt, but the question remains as to how it will unfold. In my subjective opinion, despite some high-scoring encounters in the past and the fact that both teams have been regularly involved in high-scoring matches recently, I believe this particular match will not have an excessively large number of goals. Firstly, Valur has conceded only 11 goals in 13 matches, which is the second-lowest in the league. Additionally, Valur has kept a clean sheet in their last two matches. Secondly, if we look at how Fylkir and Valur play against each other, especially at Valur's home ground, we can see that more than five goals have not been scored in the last eight matches. Thirdly, both teams represent Reykjavík, making this encounter a derby with all the consequences that come with it. My prediction is a home win (W1) with under 5.5 total goals (TM5.5).
Prediction for the match: Valur to win and Under 5.5 scored goals.
