Valencia take on the visitors Villarreal in the round 19 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Tuesday, January 2nd at Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia).
Certainly, Valencia are performing much better in the current La Liga season than in the disappointing previous one. They are currently positioned in the tenth spot in the table. However, the Bats lack stability, and the team does not inspire confidence in terms of results. The victory over Rayo Vallecano in a closely contested match just before the championship break marked the first win for the Orange in the last six rounds. Prior to that, the team had drawn with Celta Vigo (0-0) and Barcelona (1-1), and suffered defeats against Real Madrid (1-5), Girona (1-2), and Getafe (0-1). Valencia's main strength lies in their performance at Mestalla. However, even at their home stadium, the Bats have only won half of their matches in the current La Liga season.
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Villarreal are so unstable in the championship that bookmakers offer a decent coefficient even for a draw in the match against Valencia. Perhaps it's worth taking advantage of this. Winning at Mestalla will be truly challenging for the players of the Yellow Submarine, but at least securing a draw—why not? Let's see which teams Villarreal have lost to recently in the championship: Real Madrid, Real Sociedad, Atletico Madrid, and Athletic Bilbao. All these teams are in the top six of the La Liga table, with Los Blancos and Los Colchoneros in the top three. In matches against non-top teams, the Yellow Submarine performed much better: draws against Alaves and Sevilla, both with a score of 1-1, and victories against Osasuna (3-1), Granada (3-2), and Celta Vigo (3-2).
Due to the home field advantage and the fact that the hosts have more points in the championship, bookmakers slightly favor the Bats in this encounter. However, in my opinion, the teams are evenly matched, and the chances of success in the match are approximately 50-50. The outcome could swing in either direction. Based on this, I consider it rational to cover two out of three possible scenarios with an X2 bet. Three wins in the last ten league matches and only one in the last six for the hosts make me skeptical about their success now. Last season, Valencia couldn't defeat Villarreal: they lost away (1-2) and couldn't determine a winner at Mestalla (1-1). Therefore, now, most likely, Villarreal will secure at least one point. The bet is X2.
Prediction for the match: Villarreal not to lose (X2).
