Valencia take on the visitors Valladolid in the round 31 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Thursday, April 27th at Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
The Bats clearly do not want to be relegated to Segunda for the first time since the 1986/1987 season. A disappointing season can still be salvaged if they remain in La Liga. The last match against the championship outsider went to Ruben Baraja's wards. Valencia won away against Elche (2-0), ended their winless streak, and caught up with Almeria in points. However, they are still in the relegation zone, so they need to build on their success from the previous match. The Bats simply cannot afford to lose points in a home game against Valladolid. I think they will at least manage a draw because they play significantly better at home than away.
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Valladolid have only gained 11 points in 15 away games, suffered 10 losses, scored only 10 goals, and won only three times. According to the statistics of away games, the team is in the bottom four in the league. In their last five away games, the white and violet team won only once, surprisingly against Villarreal. In the other four games, they managed only a draw against modest Elche (1-1) while losing to Betis (1-2), Celta (0-3), and Real Madrid (0-6). It is unlikely that Valladolid will take points from Valencia at the Mestalla, and a victory for the visitors is even less likely.
In a match between two teams fighting for survival, I believe in Valencia's success more than in the victory of the visitors. This is because Espanyol plays poorly away, and the Bats have been quite good in their home games lately. In their last four home games, Ruben Baraja's wards only lost to Sevilla (0-2), drew with Rayo Vallecano (1-1), won against Osasuna (1-0) and Real Sociedad (1-0). I think the hosts' piggy bank will be replenished by at least one point in this round. Moreover, Valencia is likely to play Under 3.5 goals again, just like in their last four home league matches. In their last five away games in the championship, Valladolid scored only three goals and allowed their opponents to score more than 3.5 goals only once. Valencia won the last two personal meetings at the Mestalla against Valladolid, and the bet on Under 3.5 goals worked both times (3-0 and 2-1). I will take a combination of 1X + Under 3.5 goals in this match!
Prediction for the match: Valencia not to lose and Under 3.5 goals.