Valencia hosts Levante in round 28 of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Friday, June 12th at Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
Valencia is one of the three teams of La Liga, which have never lost at home this season. Moreover, all the clubs from the top eight already visited Mestalla but could not beat the Bats. Barcelona did not even score points here, having failed to score at least once. In general, Valencia lost only five of 52 home games in the last three seasons as part of the Spanish Championship. Mestalla has become a real fortress for the Bats. It is not surprising that humble Levante did not earn points in the den of Valencia in recent years, and the Frogs did not beat the Bats even once in the 21st century.
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Of course, Levante is a combat team, but primarily on its field. Playing away, the Frogs rarely provide decent resistance. As a result, they already have 11 away defeats in the framework of La Liga, which is the worst indicator in the championship. Moreover, Levante has not been gaining points for five away games in a row, although only Atlético and Barcelona were formidable rivals in this period. Before the stop of the championship, the Frogs played with equal opponents, but despite all their activity ahead, they were content with only one point scored.
Valencia scored only 38 goals in 27 games, and the last time when it scored three goals or more in the framework of La Liga took place in September last year. Levante is not so good in the attack in this championship, as in the previous one. The team scored only 32 goals. In the last four away matches, the Frogs managed to score only twice. It is also worth noting that Levante managed to avoid hammering defeats. Even visiting Barcelona, Atlético and Real Madrid, the Frogs lost with a minimum score. That is, they know how to restrain the onslaught of the opponent for a long time. Valencia reliably plays in defense at the home stadium. The teams from the top eight barely managed to score even one goal at Mestalla, and only the Mattress Makers score there twice. Therefore, I choose the combined bet for this meeting: 1X + Under 3.5 goals scored. Given that Valencia is invincible at home, and Over 3.5 goals scored took place in only 6 of 27 matches of La Liga, I think the probability of the passage is high.
Prediction for the match: Valencia to win with +0.5 handicap and Under 3.5 goals scored