USA take on the visitors Mexico in the semifinal match of CONCACAF Nationsl League playoffs. The match will be played on Friday, June 16th at Allegiant Stadium (Paradise).
The semifinal clash between these teams can probably be considered as the "small final." It's because the two strongest teams on the continent, the main favorites of the tournament, will face each other. However, I don't expect to see many goals in this encounter. In two out of the four matches in the UEFA Nations League, the Americans secured resounding victories. But both times, these significant wins were achieved against the weak Grenada national team, which is not even close to the level of the United States or Mexico. Even El Salvador didn't become an easy opponent for the "Stars and Stripes," losing to the favorite by just one goal in the sum of their two encounters: 1-1, 0-1. Both of those matches saw a bet on Under 2.5 goals.
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Mexico also had two matches where the Over 2.5 goals bet succeeded in the tournament. In one case, they comfortably defeated the modest Suriname (3-0), and in another, they engaged in a mini-shootout with Jamaica (2-2). In two other matches in the ongoing Nations League, the Mexican team played on the lower end of the total goals. They drew with Jamaica again, this time 1-1. And Suriname conceded slightly less during their latest encounter with the "green team," losing to the favorite 0-2.
It's difficult to say who the favorite is in this match, even considering the home-field advantage that the Americans have. I wouldn't recommend betting on the outcome, as the balance can swing in either direction. However, one thing is for sure: we shouldn't expect many goals. The USA and Mexico play very cautiously in their head-to-head matches, focusing primarily on not conceding rather than attacking. In 2021, the "Stars and Stripes" were stronger twice with Under 2.5 goals: 2-0 and 1-0. Moreover, in one of these matches, the only goal was scored in extra time. In 2022, they played a goalless draw on Mexican soil in the World Cup qualifiers. And in April of this calendar year, they also settled for a friendly draw, again with a low score (1-1). I believe betting on Under 2.5 goals should be a good choice in this case.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
