Union Berlin take on the visitors Stuttgart in the round 26 match of Germany Bundesliga. The match will be played on Saturday, April 1st at Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).
Union Berlin are one of the few teams in the Bundesliga that does not rely on attacking football. Its crown is a disciplined and reliable defense of its own goal, while relying on counterattacks and magnificently executed set pieces. It must be acknowledged that such a non-specific approach from Urs Fischer yields results - his team is still in the top 3 of the table. In terms of playing Under 2.5, Union is one of the most comfortable teams for this type of bet. In the last five matches of the championship involving the capital team, Over 2.5 was hit only once.
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Stuttgart, of course, plays Over 2.5 scored goals more often than Berlin in the current season. Simply because they concede more goals. However, in the last two league matches with their participation, less than three goals were scored: a 1-1 draw with Eintracht in Frankfurt and a 0-1 home defeat to Wolfsburg. At the moment, "the Swabians" are in the relegation zone, closing the tournament table. I don't think that in an away match against such an opponent as Union, Bruno Labbadia's team will fly forward recklessly. After all, they know the strong points of Berlin very well. Most likely, "the Swabians" will also rely on defense and take a waiting position.
Union are objectively the favorite of the match, but such a high coefficient on the hosts' victory is a little unsettling. In principle, you could modestly play the handicap (0) for Berliners at 1.47. But I will probably bet on Under 2.5, as I don't expect many goals in this match. "The Swabians" are not particularly productive in the current season, with 29 goals in 26 rounds for the German Bundesliga - this is not much. Union is one of the best defensive teams in the championship. But the Berliners themselves do not shine in attack, sticking to second-rate football. In the first round of the current season, Union beat Stuttgart 1-0 away. The two previous personal meetings between the opponents ended in a draw with the same score of 1-1. Already three head-to-head matches in a row, the teams have played Under 2.5 scored goals. And I don't see any reason for such a trend to suddenly stop.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.