Turkmenistan take on the visitors Uzbekistan in the second round match of CAFA Nations Cup group stage. The match will be played on Wednesday, June 14th.
Turkmenistan secured a draw in the first round against Tajikistan with a 1-1 scoreline. For them, it was a definite success since they were considered significant underdogs, with odds of over 5 for Turkmenistan. However, when it comes to the upcoming match, there is absolutely no belief in the Turkmen team. While Tajikistan may not present much of a challenge, the Uzbek national team is likely the main favorite in this tournament and is overall of a higher class than Tajikistan and Turkmenistan. The head-to-head history also speaks volumes, as the teams have met four times, with Uzbekistan emerging victorious on all four occasions. It's worth noting that even before their recent progress in results, the Uzbeks comfortably dealt with Turkmenistan. Now, it is even more likely that they will achieve a confident victory.
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In the first round, Uzbekistan faced the toughest opponent in their group, but even Oman couldn't offer any resistance to the tournament hosts and was defeated 0-3. The Uzbek team now only needs to do a little to advance to the next round of the tournament. Turkmenistan and Tajikistan are clearly not going to pose any significant problems for the hosts, and the Uzbeks can comfortably win all their group stage matches. In the current year, Uzbekistan has not suffered any defeats, having played friendly matches against quite challenging opponents such as Bolivia and Venezuela, without losing to anyone. In this decisive match, one should not expect any mistakes from Uzbekistan, and they will undoubtedly secure a confident victory based on their class.
The odds for a clear Uzbek victory are predictably very low in this match. Considering their comfortable 3-0 win over Oman in the first round, it is reasonable to assume that they will have no trouble dealing with Turkmenistan, defeating them by a margin of at least a couple of goals. Therefore, my choice for a betting option would be Uzbekistan with a handicap (-1.5).
Prediction for the match: Uzbekistan to win with -1.5 handicap.