Tunisia hosts Mauritania in round 3 of the second stage of the World Cup qualification. The match will be played on Thursday, October 7th at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Radès)
Tunisia won both matches of the group stage in the qualification for the upcoming World Cup. The team scored five goals against Equatorial Guinea and Zambia and did not concede a single one. The victory in the upcoming game practically guarantees the Eagles of Carthage a ticket to the next stage. Most likely, they will be able to gain this victory, but they will have to tinker with the Mauritanians.
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Mauritania has noticeably stepped up in recent years. In 2019, it made it to the final stage of the African Cup of Nations, and even after that, it looked quite decent. The Lions of Chinguetti have not lost in six of the last ten matches. However, two of those four defeats happened in the current qualification for the World Cup. The Mauritanians lost to Equatorial Guinea (1-0) and Zambia (1-2). Understandably, they round out the standings, but not everything is lost so far.
Tunisia has a more qualified squad and significantly more experience in performing in the international arena. The Eagles of Carthage lead the group, and Mauritania is the last in it. It is likely that Tunisia will win. But the visitors will resist to the best of their ability and will not allow the opponents to approach their penalty area so easily. And the Lions will probably try to attack. Mauritania has lost with a difference of more than two goals in only one of its last 20 matches. In turn, the Tunisians won with a difference of more than two goals in only six of the last 44 matches. These opponents crossed paths seven times, and Mauritania lost with an indecent score only once. And two games even ended in draws. I don’t know what outcome we should expect now, but the Lions of Chinguetti will most likely be able to avoid a romp and keep a handicap of + 2.5 goals. Still, they have rather good defenders. Ba played for Lens and Auxerre, Aly Abeid spent some time at Levante and French Valenciennes, and Demba is defending the colors of Grenoble.
Prediction for the match: Mauritania to win with +2.5 handicap