Torino take on the visitors Napoli in the round 27 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, February 19th at Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin).
After the shootout with Juventus in the derby, which ended in a 2-4 defeat, the "bulls" have not lost points in the championship. Moreover, Ivan Juric's team won both matches with a clean sheet, beating Bologna 1-0 and Lecce 2-0. Torino's goal difference after 26 rounds is 29-29, not the highest figures. On average, in matches involving this team in the current season, only 2.2 goals are scored per game, which is less than 2.5. The bet on Under 2.5 has come in 10 out of 12 home matches of Torino in Serie A.
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Napoli's players will approach this match tired after the Champions League match. And there is no point for the team to fly forward with great effort - Inter are behind in the table by as many as 18 points. Spalletti's team concedes the least in the current championship, on average about 0.6 goals per game. And they have not been scoring many goals lately. In the last four rounds with Napoli's participation, the Under 2.5 bet was consistently played: wins over Sassuolo, Empoli and Atalanta with the same score of 2-0 and a defeat to Lazio 0-1. We observed more than two goals only in one of the last five away matches of this team in Serie A.
No matter how great Napoli may play in several tournaments at once, football players are not robots. And it is unlikely that Spalletti's charges will fly forward with great force in this match, as they played in the Champions League just a few days earlier. It is quite possible that the coach will give some key players a rest in this match. The gap between Napoli and their pursuers is huge, so they can relax a bit. And for Torino, playing an open game against such an opponent, even at home, would be suicidal. The hosts will do everything possible to dry up the game, focusing on defense. I don't think we should expect more than three goals in this match. And in the head-to-head meetings between Torino and Napoli, they rarely play over 2.5 goals. This has only happened once in their last five matches.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
