Tondela hosts Aves in round 26 of Portuguese Primeira Liga. The match will be played on Thursday, June 11th at Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)
Tondela didn’t manage to upset the opponent’s goalkeeper in four of six previous matches, although it played with the middle peasants and outsiders, not to mention Benfica. It’s not apparent that the team will score in the upcoming match because it broke away from the relegation zone by seven points and lost motivation to attack with great forces. However, Tondela rarely relies on its mediocre attack. The main trump card of the Green-Gold is their reliable defense. Gonzalez inculcates a bus formation in his men, and games involving Tondela become sticky, boring, and pragmatic. Massive defense and careful counterattacks bear fruit - Tondela conceded no more than one goal in 60% of cases. The low attacking and high defensive potential of the Green-Gold has contributed to the fact that no more than two goals were scored in 64% of matches with their participation.
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Hopelessly closing the standings, Aves almost officially lost its residence in the elite for the next season. It is unrealistic to win back such a gap, and therefore the task of scoring goals is not a priority. However, the men of Nuno Manta Santos are unlikely to have the strength to attack intensively after six matches without victories (0-1-5) - the team is in a deep psychological crisis and terrible physical condition. The only joy that Aves knew in six last matches was only two goals scored (to the nets of hopeless outsider Pacos de Ferreira and unstable Famalicao).
Having a panic fear of being dishonored again, Aves will probably use the traditional 4-4-2 or 5-3-2 schemes. The team will close on its half of the field from the first minutes, even being afraid to counterattack. The use of these formations did not save Aves from defeats but saved them from shutouts. The fans will not manage to watch the match from the stands, so no one will put pressure on unmotivated players. They will calmly roll the ball in midfield, which will lead to Under 2.5 goals scored.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals scored
