Tianjin Teda faces Henan Jianye in the second leg of the Chinese Super League playoffs (9th-16th places – 9th place). The match will be played on Tuesday, November 10th at Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)
The Chinese frankly have nothing to do, and they have come up with frankly strange regulations for their championship in this unusual season. These two teams are fighting for 9th place in a two-match confrontation, although this 9th line gives absolutely nothing to the teams. In fact, they play friendly matches. Teda is considered a big outsider in this match, and it looks rather unexpected for me. Indeed, according to the results of the current season, this team is definitely not inferior to its rival. And if you look at the history of head-to-head meetings, Henan cannot defeat Tianjin in four matches in a row. The first leg of this confrontation ended with a 0-0 score. As for the statistics of that match, it was approximately equal, and Henan delivered a little more shots than its opponent. But I still don't see any reason to set such a high coefficient on Tianjin.
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Henan had a disgusting regular season of the current championship, which included 14 rounds. The team won only once in those 14 games. When it came to these weird matches (for totally weird places like 9th, 10th, etc.), Henan came to life and began its streak without defeats, which has lasted for five games. But as I said, Zhi Yang's men haven’t managed to beat Tianjin for a long time, and the last victory of Henan was recorded in March 2018. Therefore, there is no special faith in the nominal visitors of this match.
I don’t know why bookmakers play around coefficients on this match, and why Tianjin looks like an obvious outsider in their opinion. Based on the statistical indicators, the hosts of this match do not look like outsiders, and there is a reason to bet on them with X.
Prediction for the match: Tianjin Teda to win with +0.5 handicap