Sydney take on the visitors Macarthur in the round 9 match of Australian A-League. The match will be played on Saturday, December 24th at Sydney Football Stadium (Sydney).
Sydney FC is currently ninth in the table with 3 wins, a draw and 4 losses in eight rounds. In the last three rounds, the team won only once, losing twice. Yes, and that only victory was with a difference of one goal. I do not consider the hosts in this match as favorites. And even if they win, then with a difference of one goal, no more.
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Macarthur FC are in the top 4 of the standings, although in fact they have only one point more than their opponents. The team has the same number of victories as the hosts, but one less defeat. At the same time, in the last three rounds, MacArthur won twice, and lost only once (and even then with a minimum difference). I am sure that in the upcoming match the away team can bring profit to those who bet on it with a handicap (+1.5).
We don’t understand at all why the hosts are considered the favorites by the bookies according to their odds. At the start of the season, the teams perform about the same, and the visiting side even has one more point in their piggy bank. If we take a short segment (the last three rounds), then MacArthur looks better both in terms of the game and the result. FC Sydney in four home matches at the start of the season took only one victory. And even then, with a difference of one goal (2-1). This alignment in this match will suit us. Macarthur suffered one defeat in four away matches of the new season. And so far it is the only one in eight rounds with a difference of more than one goal. Sydney's victory in a head-to-head meeting over an opponent two months ago should not confuse us. Yes, then MacArthur lost 2-3 at home, but from the 37th minute the team played in the minority. In the last five head-to-head fights, Macarthur has only once lost to an opponent with a difference of more than one goal. And in the last three of those on the field of FC Sydney, the hosts have never won at all - two draws and a defeat. I think the bet on the handicap (+1.5) of the visitors is quite logical and reasonable!
Prediction for the match: Macarthur to win with +1.5 handicap.
