Strasbourg takes on visitors Olympique de Marseille in round 35 of French Ligue 1. The match will be played on Friday, May 3rd at Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)
Strasbourg has done its duty, let it rest. In the sense that the relegation from the league does not threaten the team; it ranks 10th in the standings and has 16-points margin from the dangerous zone. It won’t win the medals either. Moreover, Strasbourg gained the place in the Europa League for the next draw by winning the League cup, thereby adding a trophy that will make the season memorable to the club museum. And in the last matches of the championship, the team doesn’t exert itself too much. In 4 last rounds, it had 3 draws and the loss to Montpellier.
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On the contrary, despite the seemingly catastrophic 8-points lagging behind the 3rd Lyon, Marseille has quite a good chance to fight for a place in the qualification of the Champions League with Lyonese, even if there are only 4 rounds left in the championship. Marseille’s victory will reduce the margin to 5 points. In the next round, it takes Lyon on visitors, and if the Marseillais win, the handicap will reduce to 2 points. And before the visit to Marseille, the very Lyon will play against the 2nd Lille and may utterly lose points. Moreover, then the Kids have to play with Caen, which is fighting for avoiding a drop, so different options are possible.
Thus, Marseille has more than enough motivation, and Strasbourg does not have it anymore. The Provencal team knows how to play against Strasbourg; in the last 7 meetings within the championships, it gained 4 wins and 3 draws. Plus, Marseille has a grudge against Strasbourg, which beat the Olympians in the 1/8 finals of the League cup, even if in penalty kicks. Considering all the data, I think you can even not insure Marseille with X or handicap, but bet on its clear victory.
Prediction for the match: Marseille to win