Stjarnan take on the visitors Hafnarfjordur in the round 13 match of Icelandic Besta Deild Karla. The match will be played on Thursday, June 29th at Stjornuvollur (Gardabaer).
Stjarnan are not pleasing their fans and currently sits in the bottom half of the league table (in 9th place), trailing the top 6 by five points. In the match against the fourth-placed opponent, the hosts are not even favorites despite the home-field advantage. However, Stjarnan can put up a fight against any opponent on their home ground. Whether they can secure points or not is another question. But when playing at home, this team prefers to play with brightness, openness, and attacking style. This is evident from their results in home matches, such as 4-0 victories over Vestmannaeyjar and KA Akureyri, a 2-2 draw with Fylkir, or a thrilling encounter with HK Kopavogur (5-4).
Hafnarfjordur had a completely unsuccessful season last year, finishing in 10th place in the championship. Currently, the team looks much better, occupying a spot in the top 4 of the table and has been undefeated in the league for a long time. But that's not even what interests us right now. What's interesting is that matches involving Hafnarfjordur have been consistently exciting lately. Here are the results of their last five matches in the championship: victories over Fram (4-0), HK Kopavogur (4-3), and Vestmannaeyjar (3-2), draws with Breidablik (2-2) and Valur (1-1). As you can see, the Over 2.5 goals bet only failed to come through in one of these matches. But that's more of an exception to the rule.
I believe that in this match, it's better not to try to predict the outcome, and the most logical bet seems to be the common choice in the Icelandic league, Over 2.5 goals. The hosts have seen a total of six goals in their matches with opponents this season, while the guests have seen nine. In their head-to-head meetings on Hafnarfjordur's field, the games between these teams have consistently been intense, with a minimum of three goals scored: 2-1, 1-3, 0-4. I expect Over 2.5 goals to be scored this time as well.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 scored goals.
